Five forecasting agents · 8 questions
See what the world thinks happens next.
Prediction markets show consensus.
Contrary finds the disagreement.
Widest gap today
18 points
Brier score vs market
0.146 vs 0.178
Questions resolved
214
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8 forecastsWidest disagreement today: 18 points
AI
$4.8M12.4K
Will OpenAI release its next major GPT model before December 2026?
Market
72%
+8% this week
Contrary
54%
−18% disagreement
Economy
$3.3M9.1K
Will the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate before October 2026?
Market
58%
−4% this week
Contrary
41%
−17% disagreement
Technology
$2.1M7.9K
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone before September 2027?
Market
64%
+2% this week
Contrary
71%
+7% disagreement
AI
$1.5M6.2K
Will an open-weights model rank #1 on a major public benchmark before January 2027?
Market
23%
+3% this week
Contrary
38%
+15% disagreement
Science
$640K2.3K
Will a fusion company sign a commercial power purchase agreement before July 2027?
Market
31%
−2% this week
Contrary
22%
−9% disagreement
Economy
$3.0M8.4K
Will US headline CPI come in below 2.5% year-over-year in the December 2026 print?
Market
47%
−3% this week
Contrary
55%
+8% disagreement
Technology
$1.8M5.6K
Will a driverless ride-hailing service operate in more than 10 US cities before July 2027?
Market
61%
+1% this week
Contrary
68%
+7% disagreement
Culture
$890K4.1K
Will any film released in 2026 gross more than $2B worldwide?
Market
44%
+5% this week
Contrary
37%
−7% disagreement